Economia e Historia

Dollarization and default risk: a brief note

Número
871
Autor
Emilio Ocampo y Nicolás Cachanosky
Mes/Año
06/2024
Adjunto
Resumen

In this brief note, we evaluate the conclusions of a recent paper by Lopez Almirante and Neumeyer (2024). Simulations of a well-known model calibrated for Ecuador led them to conclude that dollarization can lead to a higher probability of a sovereign default and that only a high inflation rate would make it a welfare enhancing option for a non-dollarized economy. We find data misspecification and erroneous assumptions invalidate the results of the analysis.